Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 0.001509 0.001676 0.001842 0.002020 0.002204 0.002389 0.002589
2025-09-21 0.001316 0.001563 0.001816 0.002093 0.002385 0.002683 0.003009
2025-09-28 0.001163 0.001475 0.001801 0.002163 0.002553 0.002956 0.003402
2025-10-05 0.001002 0.001362 0.001748 0.002185 0.002662 0.003160 0.003717
2025-10-12 0.000868 0.001267 0.001706 0.002211 0.002768 0.003357 0.004021
2025-10-19 0.000732 0.001159 0.001640 0.002204 0.002834 0.003506 0.004268
2025-10-26 0.000612 0.001059 0.001576 0.002192 0.002889 0.003638 0.004494
2025-11-02 0.000505 0.000965 0.001512 0.002176 0.002935 0.003757 0.004702
2025-11-09 0.000417 0.000886 0.001461 0.002169 0.002987 0.003880 0.004911
2025-11-16 0.000344 0.000820 0.001419 0.002170 0.003046 0.004008 0.005123
2025-11-23 0.000282 0.000760 0.001383 0.002174 0.003104 0.004133 0.005330
2025-11-30 0.000254 0.000747 0.001403 0.002244 0.003238 0.004341 0.005628
2025-12-07 0.000172 0.000654 0.001332 0.002221 0.003287 0.004478 0.005876
2025-12-14 0.000127 0.000612 0.001325 0.002277 0.003429 0.004723 0.006248
2025-12-21 0.000089 0.000574 0.001322 0.002337 0.003576 0.004975 0.006630
2025-12-28 0.000048 0.000514 0.001284 0.002351 0.003667 0.005163 0.006939
2026-01-04 0.000020 0.000462 0.001253 0.002372 0.003765 0.005357 0.007255
2026-01-11 0.000002 0.000399 0.001200 0.002362 0.003823 0.005504 0.007515
2026-01-18 NaN 0.000340 0.001146 0.002347 0.003874 0.005640 0.007762
2026-01-25 NaN 0.000285 0.001093 0.002329 0.003918 0.005768 0.007998
2026-02-01 NaN 0.000239 0.001049 0.002321 0.003973 0.005906 0.008243
2026-02-08 NaN 0.000201 0.001013 0.002321 0.004037 0.006053 0.008498
2026-02-15 NaN 0.000168 0.000981 0.002325 0.004102 0.006201 0.008753